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Prediction markets
11 active markets
· category “Oil”
How it works
How to trade
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
31%
5 more
$1.08M
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
12%
chance
Yes
No
$920K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$217
62 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
23%
chance
Yes
No
$302K
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$111
46 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-20
76%
20-40
18%
3 more
$177K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$33
52 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 13?
<100
86%
100-124
11%
3 more
$35K
Vol.
Jul 19
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$29
41 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$1.74M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$208
60 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
48%
December
13%
5 more
$53K
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$52
42 trading now
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$45K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$64
49 trading now
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
300M
95%
285M
64%
4 more
$5.2K
Vol.
Sep 9
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
48 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of July?
34-36
26%
<25
22%
5 more
$2.2K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$98
38 trading now
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of July 20?
<220
44%
220-229
27%
4 more
$1.2K
Vol.
Jul 26
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$57
38 trading now
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