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Prediction markets
15 active markets
· category “Science”
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How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?
≤6
1%
Yes
No
7
4%
Yes
No
$29K
Vol.
Jul 19
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$83
41 trading now
Precipitation in NYC in July?
3-4"
39%
4-5"
19%
4 more
$13K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$64
45 trading now
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.20–1.24ºC
70%
1.25–1.29ºC
22%
4 more
$21K
Vol.
Aug 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$36
45 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?
0
70%
Yes
No
1
23%
Yes
No
$11K
Vol.
Jul 19
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$36
43 trading now
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?
1800+
95%
2000+
95%
4 more
$19K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
35 trading now
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?
<400mm
20%
525-550mm
20%
8 more
$10K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$125
34 trading now
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
1st hottest
86%
3rd hottest
10%
2 more
$58K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$29
40 trading now
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
John Pardon
99%
Hong Wang
98%
9 more
$662K
Vol.
Jul 30
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
63 trading now
Precipitation in Seoul in July?
100mm+
99%
90-100mm
1%
6 more
$12K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
October 31
52%
August 30
51%
2 more
$1.4K
Vol.
Jan 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$48
37 trading now
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
10%
chance
Yes
No
$576K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$263
48 trading now
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$119K
Vol.
Mar 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
46 trading now
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